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This study seeks to determine whether earnings announcements pose non-diversifiable volatility risk that commands a risk premium. We find that investors anticipate some earnings announcements to convey news that increases market return volatility and pay a premium to hedge this non-diversifiable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010205852
Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during major information events. This paper investigates whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039227
We examine the role of concurrent information in the striking increase in investor response to earnings announcements from 2001 to 2016, as measured by return variability and volume following Beaver (1968). We find management guidance, analyst forecasts, and disaggregated financial statement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873121
We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' perceptions of risk that is broadly applicable and simple to implement. We derive this measure from an option-pricing model where investors anticipate an announcement that simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244502
We document a significant positive relation between earnings announcement idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns in the 10-day window before future earnings announcements. The average of risk-adjusted return differences between stocks with the highest earnings announcement idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009762
We test the proposition in Johnstone (2016) that new information may lead to higher, rather than lower, uncertainty about firms' future payoffs. Based on the Bayesian rule, we hypothesize earnings news that is inconsistent with investors' prior belief will lead to higher market uncertainty....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902474
We explore the impact of earnings announcements on equity markets, using intraday price data for the DJIA stocks. We find on a daily basis, an abnormally high volatility only within one day following the overnight announcement. On an intraday basis, a striking volatility spike stands out during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146836
I propose to use volatility to infer opportunistic insider sales. I argue that insider sales occurring when volatility is low are suspicious and that these suspicious sales are likely to be driven by insiders’ private information for the following reasons. Suppose that insider sales are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249279
We examine whether there is intra-industry information transfer with respect to the second moment of returns around earnings announcements. Using implied volatility from option prices to proxy for uncertainty about firm fundamentals, we find a significantly positive association between changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899383
By employing the modified net buying pressure as a measure of informed option trading, this study tested whether option trading around quarterly earnings announcements is either directionally motivated and/or volatility motivated. We found evidence that is consistent with the idea that option...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818141