In the long view, recent grain price volatility is not anomalous. Wheat, rice, and maize are highly substitutable in the global market for calories, and when aggregate stocks decline to minimal feasible levels, prices become highly sensitive to small shocks, consistent with storage models. In...

No matter how pronounced intraday patterns may appear, it is difficult to account for cross-correlations among related assets when those assets trade continuously and simultaneously. Futures contracts are auctioned periodically and sequentially on the Tokyo Grain Exchange (TGE). Even though...