This paper applies the variable forgetting factor and the fixed forgetting factor to financial time-series analysis, and establishes the linkage for the first time between the variable forgetting factor approach and kernel smoothing. We then demonstrate the use of the proposed variable...

We examine the effect of consumer sentiment announcements on changes in 13 of the more common foreign exchange rates against the Australian dollar using a consumer sentiment index (CSI). Generally, we find that the CSI possesses information that influences the foreign exchange market. However,...