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This paper considers observation driven models with conditional mean and variance dynamics for non-negative valued time series. The motivation is to relax the restriction imposed on the higher order moment dynamics in standard multiplicative error models driven only by the conditional mean...
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This paper proposes a new way of modeling and forecasting intraday returns. We decompose the volatility of high frequency asset returns into components that may be easily interpreted and estimated. The conditional variance is expressed as a product of daily, diurnal and stochastic intraday...
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