This paper investigates high-frequency (HF) trading in the U.S. Treasury market around macroeconomic news announcements. After identifying HF market and limit orders based on the speed of their placement alteration and cancellation deemed beyond manual ability, we use the introduction of the...

This working paper was written by Kalok Chan (Chinese University of Hong Kong Business School), F.Y. Eric Lam (Independent Researcher)*, Giorgio Valente (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research) and Siyuan Wu (Chinese University of Hong Kong Business School).Trading venues have...

We investigate the relation between global FX volatility and the excess returns to carry trade portfolios. We find a significantly negative return co-movement of high interest rate currencies with global volatility, whereas low interest rate currencies provide a hedge against volatility shocks....

This paper provides a comprehensive evaluation of the short-horizon predictive ability of economic fundamentals and forward premia on monthly exchange rate returns in a framework that allows for volatility timing. We implement Bayesian methods for estimation and ranking of a set of empirical...