This paper proposes a two-state Markov-switching model for stock market returns in which the state-dependent expected returns, their variance and associated regime-switching dynamics are allowed to respond to market information. More specifically, we apply this model to examine the explanatory...

We assess the effect of the oil price slump of 2014–2016 on the stock markets of the GCC countries and the four largest oil importers: China, Japan, India, and South Korea. We find that compared to the pre-slump period negative oil price changes had larger effects on equity prices in oil...

Standard price discovery measures, particularly information shares, rely on the concept of co-integration for non-stationary time series. For the definition of information shares, the existence of a permanent impact of innovations is crucial, as these shares measure the relative contribution of...

This paper documents that speed is crucially important for high frequency trading strategies based on U.S. macroeconomic news releases. Using order level data of the highly liquid S&P500 ETF traded on NASDAQ from January 6, 2009, to December 12, 2011, we find that a delay of 300 milliseconds (1...

We study the relation between equity market uncertainty and the informational efficiency of U.S. equity prices, proxied by the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF. Using the Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016) equity market uncertainty index, we document a negative relation between market uncertainty and...