Showing 1 - 10 of 35
This work provides empirical support for the fractional cointegration relationship between daily high and low stock prices, allowing for the non-stationary volatility of stock market returns. The recently formalized fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (VAR) model is employed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011190214
We show how bad and good volatility propagate through forex markets, i.e., we provide evidence for asymmetric volatility connectedness on forex markets. Using high-frequency, intra-day data of the most actively traded currencies over 2007 -- 2015 we document the dominating asymmetries in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968615
We quantify how co-jumps impact correlations in currency markets. To disentangle the continuous part of quadratic covariation from co-jumps, and study the influence of co-jumps on correlations, we propose a new wavelet-based estimator. The proposed estimation framework is able to localize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970008
We detect and quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers using the realized semivariances of petroleum commodities: crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil. During the 1987-2014 period we document increasing spillovers from volatility among petroleum commodities that substantially change after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973247
In the past decade, the popularity of realized measures and various linear models for volatility forecasting has attracted attention in the literature on the price variability of energy markets. However, results that would guide practitioners to a specific estimator and model when aiming for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033742
Oil is perceived as a good diversification tool for stock markets. To fully understand this potential, we propose a new empirical methodology that combines generalized autoregressive score copula functions with high frequency data and allows us to capture and forecast the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035318
This paper proposes an enhanced approach to modeling and forecasting volatility using high frequency data. Using a forecasting model based on Realized GARCH with multiple time-frequency decomposed realized volatility measures, we study the influence of different timescales on volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036998
We propose a new model of asset returns with common factors that shift relevant parts of the stock return distributions. We show that shocks to such non-linear common movements in the panel of firm's idiosyncratic quantiles are priced in the cross-section of the US stock returns. Such risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491684
This paper revisits the fractional cointegrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized volatility. We argue that the concept of corridor implied volatility (CIV) should be used instead of the popular model-free option-implied volatility (MFIV) when assessing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090381
This paper develops a two-step estimation methodology, which allows us to apply catastrophe theory to stock market returns with time-varying volatility and model stock market crashes. Utilizing high frequency data, we estimate the daily realized volatility from the returns in the first step and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206135