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Emerging markets often go through periods of financial turbulence and the estimation of market risk measures may be problematic. Online search queries and implied volatility may (or may not) improve the model estimates. In these situations a step-by-step analysis with R and Russian market data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591721
This paper investigates the intraday volatility pattern of the E-mini SP500, quoted at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, one of the most traded American Stock Index futures. The data set consists of round-the-clock hourly returns. The squared (and absolute) returns are characterized by long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008665276
During the last decades a wide literature has focused on the relationship volume-volatility on financial markets. This paper investigates the temporal dynamics of volatility and volumes, supposing, as in Bollerslev and Jubinsky (1999), that the link has to be found in their long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008665277
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In this paper we perform an empirical analysis on the VIX Index and we develop a series of portfolio strategies on implied volatility by using VIX Futures. First, we give a brief introduction to the VIX Index and what it represents. Then we focus on the VIX Futures, with an analysis of the VIX...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929978
This paper investigates the intraday volatility pattern of the E-mini SP500 hourly returns. In order to account for the observed long memory and periodicity in returns volatility we introduce the Fractionally Integrated Periodic EGARCH and the Seasonal Fractional Integrated Periodic EGARCH. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014204671
This work proposes to forecast the Realized Volatility (RV) and the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of the most liquid Russian stocks using GARCH, ARFIMA and HAR models, including both the implied volatility computed from options prices and Google Trends data. The in-sample analysis showed that only the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888932
This is the empirical appendix accompanying the work by Fantazzini (2011) and not reported in the published version due to space limits. It describes some examples with R interfaced with the Ox package G@RCH and American stock market data
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130749