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The asset value of government has traditionally been seen as the accounting value of public assets. We develop a detailed financial economics view on sovereign asset values using market measures to arrive at implied sovereign asset values. We establish definition and dependencies within the...
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In a consumption based asset pricing model one can calculate the volatility of (log-)consumption-growth from the expected market return and from the risk-free rate. We propose to use the difference between these estimates to measure ambiguity about consumption volatility. Using a long dataset we...
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We analyze the quality of Bitcoin volatility forecasting of GARCH-type models applying different volatility proxies and loss functions. We construct model confidence sets and find them to be systematically smaller for asymmetric loss functions and a jump robust proxy
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We disentangle the risk of time-varying volatility and return in a consumption-based asset pricing model by introducing stochastic volatility of consumption growth to asset prices moving in volatility units instead of moving in time. This time-change approach yields additional insights to risk...
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