Showing 1 - 10 of 13,781
This paper studies a two-person trading game in continuous time that generalizes Garivaltis (2018) to allow for stock prices that both jump and diffuse. Analogous to Bell and Cover (1988) in discrete time, the players start by choosing fair randomizations of the initial dollar, by exchanging it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012015591
(Generalized AutoRegressive Score) and GARCH models, extending them to Student's t-GARCH and t-GAS. Second, an important risk … standard option pricing inapplicable. Therefore we parametrize the investor's risk preference and use utility indifference … pricing techniques. We use Lease Square Monte Carlo simulations as a dimension reduction technique. Moreover, an investor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465169
natural experiment with risk sources of probability judgment error, i.e. source functions, implied by index option prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227151
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015130486
This paper describes results from a new experiment studying determinants and effects of economic risk-taking. In each … higher are the returns but also the higher is the risk of a crash and a loss. This setup permits us to investigate how … transparency and incentive structures – two issues intensively debated in policy circles – affect risk taking and vulnerability to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968931
Shortfall – PSF – uses option theory to solve the problem that, under any circumstance, the risk amount is never greater than …This paper derives two new improved risk metrics LAPVaR and LAPSF. Traditional VaRDeltaNormal valuation exaggerates … the portfolio value. Risk to LIQUIDATION means every day-t, a portion of portfolio assets-i, for integer i ϵ (1, N) is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962743
empirical evidence is consistent with investors’ attitudes toward uncertainty and risk, firms’ fundamentals and leverage effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887264
This paper uses a battery of calibrated and estimated structural models to determine the causal drivers of the negative correlation between output and aggregate uncertainty. We find the transmission of uncertainty shocks to output is weak, while aggregate uncertainty endogenously responds to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219154
If agents are ambiguity-averse and can invest in productive assets, asset prices can robustly exhibit indeterminacy in the markets that open after the productive investment has been launched. For indeterminacy to occur, the aggregate supply of goods must appear in precise configurations but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114388
There is wide debate over the impact of uncertainty on firm behavior, due to the difficulty both of measuring uncertainty and of identifying causality. This paper takes three steps that attempt to address these challenges. First, we develop an instrumental variables strategy that exploits firms'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069505