This paper considers a formulation of the extended constant or time-varying conditional correlation GARCH model which allows for volatility feedback of either sign, i.e., positive or negative. In the previous literature, negative volatility spillovers were ruled out by the assumption that all...

We propose a novel way to assess information processing in a complex environment of market fragmentation. We take a different angle from the price discovery literature, and investigate information processing in the stochastic process driving stock's volatility (volatility discovery). We show...

We explore properties of asymmetric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models in the threshold GARCH family and propose a more general Spline-GTARCH model, which captures high-frequency return volatility, low-frequency macroeconomic volatility as well as an...

This paper introduces a new approach to modelling the conditional variance in a multivariate setting. It is essentially a combination of the popular GARCH model class with a spatial component, inspired by generalized space-time models. The resulting spatial GARCH model takes into account both...

We introduce a functional volatility process for modeling volatility trajectories for high frequency observations in financial markets. The observed volatility of returns results from this underlying process in combination with a multiplicative white noise. The proposed representation enables us...

Market liquidity is a latent and dynamic variable. Building on Cont et al. (2014), we propose a dynamical price impact model at high-frequency, in which price impact is a product of daily, diurnal, and autoregressive stochastic intraday com- ponents. The model is estimated using a Kalman filter...

A novel closed-form pricing formula for short-maturity options is employed to jointly identifyequity characteristics (spot volatility, spot leverage, and spot volatility of volatility) which havebeen the focus of large, but separate, strands of the literature. Interpreting equity as a call...

In this paper I explore the informational content in cross-currency flow maintained by large custodian banks with an objective to design a statistical arbitrage trading system that could exploit such information. After an initial simple test involving one-step ahead forecasts for JPYUSD FX pair...

The analysis of diffusion processes in financial models is crucially dependent on the form of the drift and diffusion coefficient functions. A methodology is proposed for estimating and testing coefficient functions for ergodic diffusions that are not directly observable. It is based on...

This paper considers a formulation of the extended constant or time-varying conditional correlation GARCH model which allows for volatility feedback of either sign, i.e., positive or negative. In the previous literature, negative volatility spillovers were ruled out by the assumption that all...