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We document the forecasting gains achieved by incorporating measures of signed, finite and infinite jumps in forecasting the volatility of equity prices, using high-frequency data from 2000 to 2016. We consider the SPY and 20 stocks that vary by sector, volume and degree of jump activity. We use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889687
This paper proposes a robust framework for disentangling undiversifiable common jumps within the realized covariance matrix. Simultaneous jumps detected in our empirical study are strongly related to major financial and economic news, and their occurrence raises correlation and persistence among...
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This paper attempts to reveal the impact of the right jump tail on the dynamics and term structures of volatility-of-volatility (VVIX) and variance-of-variance risk premium (VVRP) based on the VIX index while examining the return predictability implicit in the VIX market. In a simulation study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309948
We propose a dilution bias correction approach to deal with the errors-in-variables problem observed in realized volatility (RV) measures. The absolute difference between daily and monthly RV is shown to be proportional to the relative magnitude of the measurement error. Therefore, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829634
This paper examines the finite sample properties of novel theoretical tests that evaluate the presence of: a) Brownian motion, b) jumps; c) finite vs. infinite activity jumps. In allowing for Gaussian, t-distributed, and Gaussian-T mixture noise, our Monte Carlo experiment guides a search for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829637