Krężołek, Dominik; Piontek, Krzysztof - In: Statistics in transition : an international journal of … 25 (2024) 2, pp. 1-22
volatility and models based on the extreme value theory (EVT). ES forecasts were calculated for conditional APARCH models formed … on the entire distribution of returns, as well as for EVT models. The results of ES forecasts for each model were … verified using the backtesting procedure proposed by Acerbi and Szekely. The results show that EVT models provide more accurate …