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We investigate whether corporate bond returns are related to commonly used predictors of stock returns. Using a comprehensive sample of U.S. corporate bonds from 1973 to 2011, we find that size, equity momentum, lagged equity returns, profitability, and idiosyncratic volatility forecast bond...
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A significant fraction of firms' financing occurs via public debt markets. Accordingly, we investigate whether financial statement characteristics and other variables that predict equity returns also predict corporate bond returns. Profitability, asset growth, and equity market capitalization...
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Stock and Treasury bond comovement, volatilities, and their relations to their price valuations and fundamentals change stochastically over time, both in magnitude and direction. These stochastic changes are explained by a general equilibrium model in which agents learn about composite economic...
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In the past 20 years, measures of economic uncertainty have been developed that are purely market price based; structural model based, using data on real fundamentals and asset prices; text based; or survey based. We compare the performance of these uncertainty measures in forecasting three real...
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