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The fair value of an option is given by breakeven volatility, the value of implied volatility that sets the profit and loss of a delta-hedged option to zero. We calculate breakeven volatility for 400,000 options traded on the S&P 500 Index, and we build a predictive model for these volatility...
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Commonality in idiosyncratic volatility cannot be completely explained by time-varying volatility. We decompose the common factor in idiosyncratic volatility (CIV) of Herskovic et al. (2016) into two components: idiosyncratic volatility innovations (VIN) and time-varyingidiosyncratic volatility...
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This paper examines the behavior of futures prices and trader positions around the occurrence of price limits in commodity futures markets. We ask whether limit events are the result of shocks to fundamental volatility or the result of temporary volatility induced by the trading of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900566
Downside volatility and volatility typically comove but are not highly correlated during the most volatile times. We show that portfolios scaled by downside volatility expand the ex post mean-variance frontiers constructed using the original portfolios and volatility-managed portfolios of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851535
Long-short factors and industry portfolios in the Chinese A-share stock market tend to have higher returns the months following high volatility. Due to this positive relationship between lagged volatility and returns, volatility-managed portfolios of Moreira and Muir (2017) do not work well in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865564