This paper explores the structural driving sources of oil market volatility and correlation dynamics. Our results highlight a steadily declining oil production volatility and concurrent increasing real oil price volatility since the mid-1980s. We find that a decrease in the persistence of the...

The global oil market has experienced a steady decline in oil production volatility and a concurrent increase in the volatility of real oil prices since the mid-1980s. To study the underlying causes of the diverging volatility dynamics, we estimate a generalized time varying SVAR model that...