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Background Traditional asset pricing models face challenges from financial anomalies, prompting exploration through behavioural finance theory. This study analyses the nuanced relationship between individual investor sentiment and key stock market variables. Objectives To assess the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015108409
News carry information of market moves. The gargantuan plethora of opinions, facts and tweets on financial business offers the opportunity to test and analyze the influence of such text sources on future directions of stocks. It also creates though the necessity to distill via statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471736
This study aims at comparing Google Search Volume Indices (GSVIs—including market crash and bear market) and VIX (Investor Fear Gauge Index) in terms of explaining the S&P 500 returns. The VIX is found a more robust predictor of stock market returns than Google indices, and it does granger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011886968
Through this research, we find that the asymmetric volatility phenomenon is reversed in the Shanghai Stock Exchange during bull markets. That is, volatility increases more with good news than with bad news. This evidence is inconsistent with the US markets. Further examination of this phenomenon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060597
Despite assumptions of mean-variance efficiency that underlie most asset pricing models, investors have shown a penchant for positive skewness. This study documents that the ratio of call option volume relative to total option volume is greatest for stocks with return distributions that resemble...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007407
Using high-frequency price and volume data from several large exchanges, we show that FOMC and CPI announcements have a massive impact on Bitcoin's realized volatility and volume. However, this effect is a recent phenomenon, which started as inflation rose at the beginning of 2021. We also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350108
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. When based on daily data, the profitability of 2580 technical models has steadily declined since 1960, and has been unprofitable since .the early 1990s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226778
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. The former is exploited by trend-following models, while the latter by contrarian models. In total, the performance of 2580 widely used models is analyzed. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135708
Despite momentum's strong historical performance, its returns have large negative skewness and occasionally experiences persistent strings of sharp negative returns, referred as "momentum crashes" in the recent literature. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057742
In this paper, we confirm cross-sectional reversals in intraday returns in China's A-share market. Intraday reversals are shown to be robust with respect to seasonality, alternative samples, and the daily price-limit rule. To investigate the potential drivers, trade volumes and order imbalances...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014308779