The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx) adopted a closing call auction in 2008 but suspended its operation ten months later due to suspicion of widespread price manipulation. The Exchange relaunched the auction in 2016 with manipulation-deterrence enhancements. We exploit this unique setting by...

Expected idiosyncratic volatility and its positive relation to expected returns of Fu (2009) can be closely replicated, but only when we include information up to time t to estimate the idiosyncratic volatility at time t. Since this involves look-ahead bias, we re-estimate expected idiosyncratic...

This study investigates the economic and financial drivers of volatility changes and integrates them into stock market volatility forecasting. We first collect a diverse set of predictor variables and analyze them within a unified framework. We discover that only a small number of variables...

This study examines the response of intraday options-implied volatilities to scheduled announcements of major macroeconomic indicators. By analyzing the KOSPI 200 options intraday data, we find that the abnormal implied volatility significantly increases around announcements of macroeconomic...

This study predicts stock market volatility and applies them to the standard problem in finance, namely, asset allocation. Based on machine learning and model averaging approaches, we integrate the drivers’ predictive information to forecast market volatilities. Using various evaluation...