This paper revisits the fractional cointegrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized volatility. We argue that the concept of corridor implied volatility (CIV) should be used instead of the popular model-free option-implied volatility (MFIV) when assessing the...

This paper revisits the fractional co-integrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized volatility. Previous studies on stock index options have found biases and inefficiencies in implied volatility as a forecast of future volatility. It is argued that the concept...

This paper develops a method to select the threshold in threshold-based jump detection methods. The method is motivated by an analysis of threshold-based jump detection methods in the context of jump-diffusion models. We show that over the range of sampling frequencies a researcher is most...

Motivated by increment process modeling for two correlated random and non-random systems from a discrete-time asset pricing with both risk free asset and risky security, we propose a class of semi-parametric regressions for a combination of a non-random and a random system. Unlike classical...

For typical sample sizes occurring in economic and financial applications, the squared bias of estimators for the memory parameter is small relative to the variance. Smoothing is therefore a suitable way to improve the performance in terms of the mean squared error. However, in an analysis of...

This paper introduces Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Long Memory Stock Transaction Data of unknown underlying distribution. The moments with conditional heteroscedasticity have been discussed. In a Monte Carlo experiment, it was found that the QML estimator performs as well as CLS and...

We propose a flexible GARCH-type model for the prediction of volatility in financial time series. The approach relies on the idea of using multivariate B-splines of lagged observations and volatilities. Estimation of such a B-spline basis expansion is constructed within the likelihood framework...

This paper develops the idea of renewal time sampling, a novel sampling scheme constructed from stopping times of semimartingales. Based on this new sampling scheme we propose a class of volatility estimators named renewal based volatility estimators. In this paper we show that: (1) The spot...

We obtain the link between the Laplace transform of the price process and that of the volatility process in the context of a Brownian semi-martingale model. Relying on this result, we build a new nonparametric estimator of the instantaneous volatility which efficiently reconstructs the...

We consider the problem of estimating volatility based on high-frequency data when the observed price process is a continuous Itô semimartingale contaminated by microstructure noise. Assuming that the noise process is compatible across different sampling frequencies, we argue that it typically...