We document a steady decline in low-skilled immigration that began with the onset of the Great Recession in 2007, which … estimate a stochastic growth model with endogenous immigration and training to account for these facts and study macroeconomic … performance and welfare. Lower immigration leads to higher wages for low-skilled workers and higher consumer prices. Importantly …

through immigration increases the aggregate unemployment rate by less than 0.1 percentage points and reduces average wages by …