We provide laboratory evidence that people neglect skewness resulting from compound shocks.

We provide laboratory evidence that people neglect skewness resulting from compound shocks. In an investment experiment involving an asset with random geometric price growth, we determine bounds on the participants' subjective medians of the asset's final price. The evidence shows a strong bias...

Multiplicative growth processes that are subject to random shocks often have a skewed distribution of outcomes. A simple laboratory experiment shows that participants either strongly underestimate skewness or ignore it completely. The participants' choices reveal bounds on their subjective...

Multiplicative growth processes that are subject to random shocks often have a skewed distribution of outcomes. A simple laboratory experiment shows that participants either strongly underestimate skewness or ignore it completely. The participants' choices reveal bounds on their subjective...