Showing 1 - 10 of 3,951
This paper provides a new perspective on the exchange rate disconnect puzzle by referring to the expectations building … mechanism in foreign exchange markets. Therefore, we analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for … expected exchange rate changes. In doing so, we assess data for 31 economies from 2002 to 2017 and consider expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012435503
developments into account while expectations for minor currencies react stronger to response policies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818059
This paper provides a new perspective on the exchange rate disconnect puzzle by referring to the expectations building … mechanism in foreign exchange markets. We analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for expected … expectations regarding GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, and current accounts. Our empirical findings show that fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990178
question analysed in this paper. In contrast to other studies we use expectations data instead of observable variables …. Therefore we analyse the implicit structural models forecasters have in mind when forming their exchange rate expectations. The … models using the categorical expectations data of the ZEW financial market survey. The expectation variables used to explain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297610
question analysed in this apper. In contrast to other studies we use expectations instead of realised data. Therefore we … analyse the implicit structural models forecasters have in mind when forming their exchange rate expectations. Using expected … short- and long-term interest rates and business expectations as explanatory variables we estimate latent structural models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543374
question analysed in this paper. In contrast to other studies we use expectations data instead of observable variables …. Therefore we analyse the implicit structural models forecasters have in mind when forming their exchange rate expectations. The … models using the categorical expectations data of the ZEW financial market survey. The expectation variables used to explain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442397
This paper shows that exchange rates respond to only the surprise component of an actual US monetary policy change and that failure to disentangle the surprise component from the actual monetary policy change can lead to an underestimation of the impact of monetary policy, or even to a false...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320908
day-to-day changes in expectations of future US monetary policy, in the context of a study of day-to-day exchange rate … changes. We analyze more than 12 years of daily exchange rate data and show that continuous day-to-day changes in expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320954
This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … the adjustment of exchange rate expectations. Our findings are robust to different forecasting horizons and point to an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532311
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375039