This note examines how the DEM/USD rate and US short-term and long-term interest rates respond to the release of payroll announcements. In contrast to a recent paper by Edison (1997), who employs a linear econometric model, we test the influence of news by comparing the absolute values of the...

We study the joint dynamics of macroeconomic variables, bond yields, and the exchange rate in an empirical two-country New-Keynesian model complemented with a no-arbitrage term structure model. With Canadian and US data, we are able to study the impact of macroeconomic shocks from both countries...

Chapter 1; Risk Premiums -- Chapter 2: FX Forwards and the Carry Trade -- Chapter 3; Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, Inflation and the Risk Premium -- Chapter 4; The Mundell Fleming Model of the Exchange Rate -- Chapter 5: Valuation Models (PPP, DEER, FEER)? -- Chapter 6: What Drives Inflation and...

We analyse micro-level data concerning four financial variables in Sveriges Riksbank's Prospera Survey to evaluate the accuracy of forecasts provided by professionals active in the Swedish fixed-income market. Our results indicate that for the SEK/EUR and SEK/USD exchange rates, and the...