Expectations of Sterling returning to Gold have been disregarded in empirical work on the US dollar - Sterling exchange rate in the early 1920s. We incorporate such considerations in a PPP model of the exchange rate, letting the probability of a return to gold follow a logistic function. We draw...

Die Beiträge des Bandes befassen sich mit den Mechanismen der Preisbildung auf den Finanz- und Devisenmärkten. Besonderes Interesse gilt der Rolle von Spekulation und Arbitrage und der sich daraus ergebenden Volatilität der Finanzmarktpreise. -- Der Beitrag von E. W. Streissler hat die...

This paper provides an econometric analysis of the short-run impact of interest rates on the Swiss franc exchange rate covering the period January 2001 to June 2011 using daily data. Our model includes both the exchange rate of the Swiss franc against euro and dollar and uses the plausible...