Understanding of the macroeconomic effects of climate change is developing rapidly, but the implications for past and future inflation remain less well understood. Here we exploit a global dataset of monthly consumer price indices to identify the causal impacts of changes in climate on...

The industry standard model for commodity price dynamics implies constant correlation between returns of futures with different tenors. We extend the model by allowing its parameters to vary over time. This practice enables us to capture the seasonality effect embedded in the evolution of a...

Seasonal patterns in economic time series are generally examined from a univariate point of view. Using extensions of the unit root literature, important classes of seasonal processes are deterministic, stationary stochastic or mean reverting, and unit root stochastic. Time series tests have...