We investigate the issue of model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions using Bayesian model averaging (BMA). We find that the posterior probability is distributed among many models, suggesting the superiority of BMA over any single model. Out-of-sample predictive results support that...

We investigate the issue of model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions using Bayesian model averaging (BMA). We find that the posterior probability is distributed among many models, suggesting the superiority of BMA over any single model. Out-of-sample predictive results support that...

We consider the measures of jointness proposed by Doppelhofer and Weeks (2009) and Strachan (2009) in the context of variable selection. Using the general criteria suggested in Ley and Steel (2007), we identify some shortcomings of these measures, which are illustrated with empirically relevant...