A novel measure of two classes of monthly commodity price uncertainty is constructed by applying mixed-frequency state-space modelling to forecasts of prices of six energy and fourteen metal commodities. Energy price uncertainty shocks are found to be contractionary for the world economy, while...

We propose a new top-down approach to measure systemic risk in the financial system. Our framework uses a combination of macroeconomic, financial and rating factors in representative regions of the world. We formulate a mixed-frequency state-space model to estimate macroeconomic factors. To...

We propose a new top-down approach to measure systemic risk in the financial system. Our framework uses a combination of macroeconomic, financial and rating factors in representative regions of the world. We formulate a mixed-frequency state-space model to estimate macroeconomic factors. To...

A novel measure of two classes of monthly commodity price uncertainty is constructed by applying mixed-frequency state-space modelling to price forecasts of six energy and fourteen metal commodities. Energy price uncertainty shocks are contractionary for the world economy, while metal price...