Showing 1 - 10 of 2,809
This paper suggests that there was a negative bubble in oil prices in 2014/15, which decreased them beyond the level justified by economic fundamentals. This proposition is corroborated by two sets of bubble detection strategies: the first set consists of tests for financial bubbles, while the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988565
The ex-ante forecast of the SP500 index discussed in Fantazzini (2010a), covering the time sample 14/04/2009-09/10/2010, and originally submitted to the Economics Bulletin on the 15/05/2009 is analyzed. It is found that the realized values of the SP500 index trailed the forecasted values quite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117963
The ability of Google Trends data to forecast the number of new daily cases and deaths of COVID-19 is examined using a dataset of 158 countries. The analysis includes the computations of lag correlations between confirmed cases and Google data, Granger causality tests, and an out-of-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826063
The financial crisis of 2007-2009 has begun in July 2007 when a loss of confidence by investors in the value of … securitized mortgages in the United States resulted in a liquidity crisis. World stock markets peaked in October 2007 and then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131972
In this paper we provide further evidence on the suitability of the median of the point VaR forecasts of a set of models as a GFC-robust strategy by using an additional set of new extreme value forecasting models and by extending the sample period for comparison. These extreme value models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326321
how different risk management strategies performed during the 2008-09 global financial crisis. These issues are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326358
A risk management strategy is proposed as being robust to the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) by selecting a Value … maintaining the same risk management strategies before, during and after a financial crisis would lead to comparatively low daily … 2008-09 global financial crisis. We investigate the performance of a variety of single and combined VaR forecasts in terms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137384
This paper investigates dynamic currency hedging benefits, with a further focus on the impact of currency hedging before and during the recent financial crises originated from the subprime and the Euro sovereign bonds. We take the point of view of a Euro-based institutional investor who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074792
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724104
management strategies performed during the 2008-09 financial crisis, evaluate how the financial crisis affected risk management … financial crisis. These issues are illustrated using Standard and Poor’s 500 Index, with an emphasis on how risk management … practices were monitored and encouraged by the Basel II Accord regulations during the financial crisis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378354