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Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …
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This paper examines the causal effects of shifts in international food commodity prices on euro area inflation dynamics …%-30% of inflation volatility. In addition, large autonomous swings in international food prices contributed significantly to … the twin puzzle of missing disinflation and missing inflation in the era after the Great Recession. Specifically, without …
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This paper deals with the dynamic response of exchange rates, inflation and agricultural foreign trade in Bulgaria … domestic economies causing pressure on inflation in the long run; (ii) in the short run the impact of a positive shock in … international food price increases domestic inflation, depreci-ates the currency and reduces the agricultural trade; (iii) the …
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We study how precipitation has affected food consumer price inflation (CPI), using dynamic panel estimation of food CPI …. We allow for nonlinear effects of precipitation on food CPI inflation, and also control for possible nonlinear effects of … temperature. We find that precipitation has significant nonlinear effects on food CPI inflation. The coefficient of food CPI …
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