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Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225141
We study how carbon pricing has affected inflation ex-post, using dynamic panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips … carbon taxes. We find that an increase in prices of ETS by $10 per ton of CO2 equivalents increases energy CPI inflation by 0 ….8 percentage points (pp), and headline inflation by 0.08pp, but has no significant effects on food and core CPI inflation. We also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815765
Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the … reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230450
The paper examines the factors of global inflation acceleration in 2021-2022. We consider primarily the developed … economies, where rates of inflation over the last two years have exceeded multi-year highs and have significantly exceeded … target levels. We find that the cause of accelerating inflation was an imbalance between aggregate demand, which started to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015394329
We study how precipitation has affected food consumer price inflation (CPI), using dynamic panel estimation of food CPI …. We allow for nonlinear effects of precipitation on food CPI inflation, and also control for possible nonlinear effects of … temperature. We find that precipitation has significant nonlinear effects on food CPI inflation. The coefficient of food CPI …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380872
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
On 11-12 May 2011, SUERF and the Belgian Financial Forum, in association with the Brussels Finance Institute and the Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) organized the 29th SUERF Colloquium “New Paradigms in Money and Finance?” All the papers in the present SUERF Study are based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689952
On 11-12 May 2011, SUERF and the Belgian Financial Forum, in association with the Brussels Finance Institute and the Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) organized the 29th SUERF Colloquium "New Paradigms in Money and Finance?". All the papers in the present SUERF Study are based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711450
This paper aims to contribute to a better understanding on how inflation targets are set. For this reason, we first … inflation targets are set; we then estimate the determinants of the level of inflation target in 19 inflation targeting … than as a point). Inflation targets are found to reflect macroeconomic fundamentals. Higher level as well as higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322261
We study the dynamics of inflation persistence in 45 countries for the period 1960-2008. We use a nonparametric unit … inflation data, and a test for multiple changes in persistence, which decomposes the sample information between adjacent I(0 …) and I(1) periods. We find that (1) With very few exceptions, inflation around the world rejects a unit root, (2) for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322567