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Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10002386783
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We nowcast the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and related lock-down measures in the UK and then analyse the distributional and budgetary effects of the estimated individual income shocks, distinguishing between the effects of automatic stabilisers and those of the emergency policy...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012226320
We develop a new methodology to nowcast the effects of the COVID-19 crisis and forecast its evolution in small, export-oriented countries. To this aim, we exploit variation in financial indexes at the industry level and relate them to the expected duration of the crisis for each industry, under...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012545677
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012311029
Universal Credit (UC) was a large-scale reform of the UK welfare system reform, replacing six existing benefits. UC aimed to simplify claims and encourage more claimants into work. We identify its effect on mental well-being, treating the phased rollout from 2013-2018 as a natural experiment. We...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015271660
I develop an agent-based computational economics (ACE) model with which I evaluate the aggregate impact of labor market policies. The findings are that governmentfinanced training measures increase the outflow rate from unemployment to employment. Although the overall effect is positive this...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10010304036
In the aftermath of the financial crisis, with periphery countries in the European Union even more falling behind the core countries economically, there have been quests for various kind of fiscal policies in order to revert divergence. How these policies would unfold and perform comparatively...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10012981206
Agent-based simulation models are a relatively new addition to the tool-box of macroeconomists. In this chapter we introduce the Eurace@Unibi model and the research that has been done within this framework. We show how an agent-based model can be used to identify economic mechanisms and how it...
Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013060242