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Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle

Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - In: International journal of forecasting 33 (2017) 4, pp. 760-769

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746905

A note on uncertainty due to infectious diseases and output growth of the United States : a mixed-frequency forecasting experiment

Salisu, Afees A.; Gupta, Rangan; Demirer, Rıza - In: Annals of financial economics 17 (2022) 2, pp. 1-9

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262971

Uncertainty in long-term macroeconomic forecasts : ex post evaluation of forecasts by economics researchers

Morikawa, Masayuki - In: The quarterly review of economics and finance : journal … 85 (2022), pp. 8-15

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013335999

Subjective and ex post forecast uncertainty : US inflation and output growth

Clements, Michael P. - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618587

Analyst Long-Term Growth Forecasts, Accounting Fundamentals and Stock Returns

Fisher, Gregg S. - 2017

component does not forecast future returns, and the hard component does forecast future returns, but in a perverse way …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969603

Predicting long-term earnings growth from multiple information sourcesOriginal

Gao, Zhan; Wu, Wan-Ting - In: International review of financial analysis 32 (2014), pp. 71-84

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010461321

Assessment of GDP forecast uncertainty

Lindén, Staffan (contributor) - European Commission / Directorate-General for Economic … - 2003

This paper develops an approach to measure the uncertainty surrounding expected GDP growth that prevails in the economy. This is accomplished by making use of consensus forecasts of GDP growth and by studying the properties of distributions of forecasted euro area GDP growth. A euro area...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015318379

Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts

Ohnsorge, Franziska L.; Some, Modeste Y.; Stocker, Marc - 2016

-based measures of risk factors of global growth. The weights are estimated using a vector autoregression analysis. The empirical … estimates indicate that forecast uncertainty has increased since January 2016, while the balance of risks to global growth has …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012570942

Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts

Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968631

Forecast uncertainty : ex ante and ex post ; US inflation and output growth

Clements, Michael P. - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 32 (2014) 2, pp. 206-216

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488569