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and forecast. In this paper, a series of tests for nonlinearity and chaos in exchange rates is conducted using the daily … data on the market rates in Iran for the period 1991-2005. The tests for nonlinearity are BDS and ANN tests, and the tests … for chaos are autocorrelation and Lyapunov exponents. The tests results suggest that the exchange rates and their rates of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010695806
test German labor market data for the null hypothesis of an i.i.d. process with the BDS test. As several processes … core to German labor market dynamics. Chaos does not occur.  … Arbeitsmarkt mit Hilfe des BDS Tests auf Nichtlinearitäten untersucht. Da der Nachweis deterministischer Nichtlinearitäten über den …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608718
Based on a classical financial market model different model variants known from the literature are discussed and analyzed, each focussing on modeling financial markets as a nonlinear dynamic system by introducing the formation of (heterogeneous) beliefs about future asset prices into the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428980
This paper builds models of nonlinear dynamics in the aggregate investment and borrower net worth and uses them to study the causes and nature of endogenous credit cycles. The basic model has two types of projects: the Good and the Bad. The Bad is highly productive, but, unlike the Good, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266314
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000596826
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434917
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203234
address two specific questions: "Masked by stochasticity, do financial data exhibit deterministic nonlinearity?", and "If so … fixings, and the USD-JPY exchange rate. For each data set we apply surrogate data methods and nonlinearity tests to quantify … linear noise or conditional heteroskedastic models and that there therefore exists detectable deterministic nonlinearity that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005246284
This paper builds models of nonlinear dynamics in the aggregate investment and borrower net worth and uses them to study the causes and nature of endogenous credit cycles. The basic model has two types of projects: the Good and the Bad. The Bad is highly productive, but, unlike the Good, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252306
Kocenda (2001) introduced the test for nonlinear dependencies in time series data based on the correlation integral. The idea of the test is to estimate the correlation dimension by integrating over a range of proximity parameter epsilon. However, there is an unexplored avenue if one wants to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086611