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Die umfangreiche empirische Literatur zur Gültigkeit der Erwartungstheorie der Zinsstruktur in den USA hat einen "U … werden in Kapitel 2 unterschiedliche Theorien der Zinsstruktur dargestellt und die ökonometrisch-methodischen Testansätze der … diskutiert und mittels eines multivariaten ARCH-Ansatzes zeitvariable Risikoprämien in der deutschen Zinsstruktur nachgewiesen …
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We analyze cyclical co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and long-term interest rates across 17 advanced economies. Using a time-varying multi-level dynamic factor model and more than 130 years of data, we analyze the dynamics of co-movement at different levels of aggregation and...
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We introduce a methodology for measuring default risk connectedness that is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. The out-of-sample nature of the procedure leads to "realized" measures which, in practice, respond more quickly to crisis occurrences than those...
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investors for the commodity price risk. Commodity producers differ in their exposure to the export price risk. Exchange rate … decisions and thus that the drift is exploitable by investors. Buying (selling) currencies ten days in advance of predicted …-Prämie-Anomalie, der Geldpolitik und Wechselkursdynamik, sowie der Messung der geldpolitischen Erwartungen aus den Vermögenspreisen. Im …
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