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We analyse measures of internal flexibility taken to safeguard employment during the Coronavirus Crisis in comparison to the Great Recession. Cyclical working-time reductions are again a major factor in safeguarding employment. Whereas during the Great Recession all working-time instruments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012512274
The paper investigates exchange rate cycles and their relationship to the business cycle in 7 major emerging market economies. We document the presence of periodic cycles in nominal US-dollar exchange rates and show that these are closely aligned with cycle frequencies in real output. Joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660709
We estimate Okun's law, the negative relationship between output and the unemployment rate, at the sector level for the … coefficients are proportional to the aggregate in all four countries. We also show that the standard deviation of unemployment is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841145
We estimate Okun's law, the negative relationship between output and the unemployment rate, at the sector level for the … coefficients are proportional to the aggregate in all four countries. We also show that the standard deviation of unemployment is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012166007
We present the estimated large-scale three-region DSGE model GEAR picturing Germany, the Euro Area and the Rest of the … world. Compared to existing models of this type, GEAR incorporates a comprehensive fiscal block, involuntary unemployment … present-value multipliers for distinct fiscal instruments, and to assess how discretionary fiscal policy in Germany and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516561
We evaluate the effects of permanently reducing labour tax rates in the euro area (EA) by simulating a large-scale open economy dynamic general equilibrium model. The model features the EA as a monetary union, split in two regions (Home and the rest of the EA - REA), the US, and the rest of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792134
from pre-crisis levels. In other countries, where unemployment has remained subdued, such as Germany and the Netherlands … commentators have argued that the subsequent rise in unemployment exceeded previous estimates of the elasticity of the unemployment …-term estimate of Okun’s coefficient implying that the deviation in unemployment during the crisis resulted from a larger output gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010205770
International real business cycle models are not able to account for the high volatility of imports, exports, the trade …, the model presented here comes much closer to replicating the relatively high volatility observed in the data while also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184124
This paper attempts to determine whether or not the introduction of the euro affected the volatility of bilateral … breaks in volatility across investigated variables, there is high heterogeneity regarding the located dates. Moreover, the … realignments in the Exchange Rate Mechanism seem to play a significant role in the reduction of volatility in some European …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141096
This article investigates the effects of the different exchange rate regimes on business cycles comovement between advanced and emerging countries. We use the Granger Causality test (VAR model) on panel data to examine the causal relationships. Our findings show the existence of a bidirectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373499