We use oil price forecasts from the Consensus Economic Forecast poll to analyze how forecasters form their expectations. Our findings seem to indicate that the extrapolative as well as the regressive expectation formation hypothesis play a role. Standard measures of forecast accuracy reveal...

We use oil price forecasts from the Consensus Economic Forecast poll to analyze how forecasters form their expectations. Our findings seem to indicate that the extrapolative as well as the regressive expectation formation hypothesis play a role. Standard measures of forecast accuracy reveal...

The notes in this compilation prepared by key monetary experts explore the different ways in which globalisation could have an impact on inflation and monetary policy transmission channels. The growing integration of production processes, commodity price shifts and the reduced ability of wage...

The notes in this compilation prepared by key monetary experts explore the different ways in which globalisation could have an impact on inflation and monetary policy transmission channels. The growing integration of production processes, commodity price shifts and the reduced ability of wage...

In contrast to academic recommendations monetary authorities all over the world intervene on the foreign exchange market to actively manage the exchange rate. Particularly in the aftermath of the global financial crisis the exchange rate is abused by some countries in a "currency war" to...