This paper investigates the relation between returns on stock indices and their corresponding futures contracts in order to evaluate potential explanations for the pervasive yet anomalous evidence of positive, short-horizon portfolio autocorrelations. Using a simple theoretical framework, we...

It is well-documented that government bonds with almost identical cash flows can trade at different prices. This paper analyzes the cross-section of bond spreads across developed European countries and documents a novel result. In periods of widening credit spreads, bond spreads between new and...

In my lectures at the annual Rothschild Caesarea Center summit in May this year, the annual convention of the Israel Economic Association, and an evening workshop of the Pinhas Sapir Center for Development, also this year, I made it my goal to shed some light on the way the credit crisis that...

Using high-frequency data, we estimate and characterize the evolution of the factor structure of global asset returns across aggregate equity, fixed income and exchange rates over the period 2007-2020. We show how the factor structure of asset returns evolves through time, providing clear...

We present a simple model of systemic risk and show how each financial institution’s contribution to systemic risk can be measured and priced. An institution’s contribution, denoted systemic expected shortfall (SES), is its propensity to be undercapitalized when the system as a whole is...