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The use of parametric GARCH models to characterize crude oil price volatility is widely observed in the empirical literature. In this paper, we consider an alternative approach involving nonparametric method to model and forecast oil price return volatility. Focusing on two crude oil markets,...
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This paper proposes a new risk factor based on a multi-country's trading imbalance network to explain foreign exchange rate fluctuations and currency risk premia associated with a currency carry trade strategy. We build a directed in-degree trading network of global countries linked by their...
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In this paper, we study how global trade network provides a channel through which term premia comove and transmit across a large group of countries consisting both developed and developing economies. We provide the theoretical derivations on why the term premia may decrease with the trade...
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There is a widespread belief that the US subprime mortgage crisis has escalated into a full-blown current global financial crisis and that many economies throughout the world have been hit by it. Using a test of financial market stability, this article shows the varying degree of impact...
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