Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate the information content of the variables that can help detecting external and internal imbalances in an early stage. The starting point is the Scoreboard, where nine indicators are chosen in order to increase macroeconomic surveillance of...

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) continues to be a constant threat in 2022 and is important to design appropriate vaccination campaigns to face next pandemic impacts driven by new variants. This study develops a Machine Learning experiment that shows, between countries, a rapid reduction...

The impact of climate change has resulted in several long-term events including extreme temperatures. Besides, the occurrence of climate events impedes economic progress –– affecting economic readiness of climate mitigation. However, the effect of climatic factors on economic productivity...

In this study we apply the Elliott's Wave theory to the index S&P 500 for a period of three years, starting from the October 2008 and until December 31, 2011. An analytical forecast for the first half of 2012 has been carried out. Our principle empirical findings underline that the evolution of...

Most countries have tried to decline fossil fuels dependency by supporting clean energy transition. In light of this, this study investigates the impact of energy security risk (ESR) and geopolitical risk (GPR) on the load capacity factor (LCF) in four fragile countries (Brazil-BRA; India-IND;...

The paper analyses the relationship among economic growth, carbon dioxide emissions, and energy use for six ASEAN countries over the 1971-2007 years. Using a panel VAR technique, a 3-variable VAR is estimated. Empirical findings show that the response of economic growth to energy use is positive...