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An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper … discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364738
An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper … discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056343
Using survey data from German households, we find that individuals with lower climate concern tend to have higher inflation expectations up to five years ahead. This correlation is most pronounced among individuals with extremely high inflation expectations. Evaluating candidate explanations, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171786
Most theoretical central bank models use short horizons and focus on a single tradeoff. However, in reality central banks play complex, long horizon games and face more than one tradeoff. We account for these issues in a simple infinite horizon game with a novel tradeoff: higher rates deter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009753000
The 2007-2008 financial crisis demonstrated both the responsibilities that central bankers, alongside other actors, bear for turbulences of this kind as well as how economics can be used to provide central bankers and governments with the understanding and tools that they need to prevent the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014160305
This paper applies Kirzner’s theory of entrepreneurial alertness to central banking. As opposed to entrepreneurs operating within the market, central banks can operate outside the market by defining its structure and regulations. We label as “super-alertness” the particular type of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014108385
This paper is a critical engagement with the four design principles for Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) recently proposed by Kumhof and Noone (KN). It is argued that the implicit notion of parity underlying KN's analysis is too narrow as it is only focused on the exchange rate between CBDC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014112133
Central banks hold gold reserves that are designed to build confidence in fiat currency. This confidence is undermined if the price of gold falls significantly or rises significantly. Central banks thus have an incentive to manage the price of gold. Such management is evident in fixed gold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007178
The prospect of central banks issuing digital currency (CBDC) immediately raises the question of how this new form of money should co-exist and interact with existing forms of money. This paper evaluates three different scenarios for the implementation of CBDC in terms of their monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954346
Drawing on the 2016 update of the IMF's Central Bank Legislation Database, this paper examines differences in central bank legal frameworks before and after the Global Financial Crisis. Examples from select countries show that many central bank laws have undergone changes in objectives,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956503