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The paper examines the factors of global inflation acceleration in 2021-2022. We consider primarily the developed economies, where rates of inflation over the last two years have exceeded multi-year highs and have significantly exceeded target levels. We find that the cause of accelerating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015394329
Low and unresponsive inflation has been termed a “puzzle.” The paper describes a formula for which these conditions have been a prediction since early 2016.The Money Value Formula analyzes the unit value of a currency solely as a function of long lags of monetary aggregates. The Formula...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858878
policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated, based on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102206
Abstract Negative interest rates policies (NIRP), usually depicted in economic textbooks as an impossibility due to the prospect of infinite demand for money, are now a reality in several countries due to different reasons. But while the ZLB has been surpassed when it comes to Central Banks, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899581
pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414783
Global growth prospects have deteriorated significantly since the beginning of the year, raising the specter of global recession. This paper relies on insights gleaned from previous global recessions to analyze the recent evolution of economic activity and policies and presents plausible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013383374
This paper examines how monetary and macroprudential policies interact and possibly complement each other in achieving their respective price and financial stability objectives. We first review the Canadian experience of housing market cycles and highlight the need to coordinate the two sets of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015163673
We study fiscal policy in Denmark in the period 2004-2012 and compare the actual policy to counterfactual, rule-based alternatives. Given Denmark's fixed exchange rate towards the euro, it is the job of fiscal policymakers to stabilise fluctuations in output and inflation. However, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010371427
The worst global downturn since the Great Depression has caused ballooning budget deficits in most nations, as tax revenues collapse and governments bail out financial institutions and attempt countercyclical fiscal policy. With notable exceptions, most economists accept the desirability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003975102
We've been assured that the recession is over, but the country and the economy continue to feel the effects of the 2008 financial crisis, and people are still searching for answers about what caused it, what it has wrought, and how we can recover. This selection from the best-selling book This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014292540