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We analyze the daily returns of stock market indices and currencies of 56 countries over the period of 2002-2012. We build a network model consisting of two layers, one being the stock market indices and the other the foreign exchange markets. Synchronous and lagged correlations are used as...
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The global financial system is highly complex, with cross-border interconnections and interdependencies. In this highly interconnected environment, local financial shocks and events can be easily amplified and turned into global events. New models are needed to capture the structure of the...
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We introduce a model of proportional growth to explain the distribution Pg(g) of business-firm growth rates. The model predicts that Pg(g) is exponential in the central part and depicts an asymptotic power-law behavior in the tails with an exponent z=3. Because of data limitations, previous...
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Wildfires, suspended soil and other particulates, and industrial emissions combine to raise the urgency of air quality as a planetary threat. This paper introduces Prometheus, a proactive decision-making framework for managing environmental and health risks associated with air pollution and...
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