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We provide a first analysis of the inflation-hedging properties of Bitcoin and Ethereum futures contracts. Daily data on the futures markets of Bitcoin, starting in December 2017, and Ethereum, available since February 2021, reveal consistently positive responses to inflation expectations. We...
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Harvey, Kellard, Madsen and Wohar (2010, Review of Economics and Statistics, 92, 367-377) contains data construction errors and the reported results are incorrect. This erratum provides the corrected results
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Breaking ground from all previous studies, we estimate a time-varying Vector Autoregression model that examines the time-period 1270-2016 - the entire economic history of the U.K. Focusing on permanent and transitory shocks in the economy, we study the fluctuation in conditional volatilities and...
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This paper finds significant evidence that commodity price changes can predict industry-level returns for horizons between one trading day and up to six trading weeks (30 days). We find that for the 1985-2010 period, 40 out of 49 U.S. industries can be predicted by at least one commodity. Our...
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