In this paper we use a test developed by Phillips et al. (2011) to identify a bubble in the gold market. We find that the price of gold followed an explosive price process between 2002 and 2012 interrupted only briefly by the subprime crisis in 2008. We also provide a theoretical foundation for...

Central banks hold gold reserves that are designed to build confidence in fiat currency. This confidence is undermined if the price of gold falls significantly or rises significantly. Central banks thus have an incentive to manage the price of gold. Such management is evident in fixed gold...

It is well known that US dollar gold prices are negatively related to the value of the US dollar and that gold prices denominated in other currencies are negatively related to these currencies. But how strong is this relationship for each currency and what is its cause? This paper provides new...

We use quantile regressions to demonstrate that volatility persistence and the asymmetric "leverage" effect are high volatility phenomena. More specifically, we find that (i) low volatility is not persistent, but high volatility all the more, even featuring properties of explosive processes;...

Dyhrberg (2016) analyzes the relationship between Bitcoin, gold and the US dollar within a GARCH framework and states that Bitcoin can be classified as something in between gold and the US dollar. This paper uses the same sample and econometric models to replicate the findings and demonstrates...

This paper analyses the causal relationship between gold production costs and gold prices using a hand-collected set of country and company data on gold mining. We find strong econometric evidence for causality running from gold prices to gold production costs. The results are supported...