Central banks fine-tune a currency price frequently based on a set of criteria, most of which revolves around currency stability. However, some of the criteria may be to boost exports by engineering an artificial low price for a currency, that is below market expectations. Such criteria may be...

Commodity terms of trade (CTOT) volatility is positively associated with sovereign credit spreads, leading to a higher cost of capital for producers in commodity-dependent countries. In this paper, we examine how volatile CTOT influences industries’ growth performance based on sector-level...

In this paper we propose a novel approach to obtain the predictive density of global GDP growth. It hinges upon a bottom-up probabilistic model that estimates and combines single countries' predictive GDP growth densities, taking into account cross-country interdependencies. Specifically,we...

This note argues that, from an economic-statistical point of view, trading gains, as difference between real Gross Domestic Income and real Gross Domestic Product, should be considered as a statistical artefact, caused by the use of an inappropriate deflator

Nighttime lights data are a measure of economic activity whose measurement error is plausibly independent of the errors of most conventional indicators. Therefore, we can use nighttime lights as an independent benchmark to assess existing measures of economic activity (Pinkovskiy and...

Proposed alternatives to GDP as a measure of social welfare or human progress are briefly evaluated. Four main categories are considered, namely ISEW and GPI based on corrections of GDP, sustainable or green(ed) GDP, genuine savings/investments and composite indexes. All these alternatives turn...

This paper provides a new data set of regional income inequalities within countries based on satellite nighttime light data. We first empirically study the relationship between luminosity data and regional incomes for those countries where regional income data are available. We subsequently use...

Nighttime lights data are a measure of economic activity whose measurement error is plausibly independent of the errors of most conventional indicators. Therefore, we can use nighttime lights as an independent benchmark to assess existing measures of economic activity (Pinkovskiy and...

Economy, society, environment and sometimes indicated institutional and political system – on these pillars is based the idea of sustainable development. The necessity for a global balance in these dimensions hinders the multidimensional approach of ideas. These difficulties increase when the...