This paper develops a mathematicla programming model to reconcile trade statistics subject to a set of global consistency conditions in the presence of an entrepot. Initial data reliability serves a key function for governing the magnitude of adjustment. Through a two-stage optimization...

Viewing the Chinese economy as a speeding car, there are three types of development that could crash the car: (1) a hardware failure, which is the breakdown of an economic mechanism (analogous to the collapse of the chassis of the car), e.g. a banking crisis; (2) a software failure, which is a...

We attribute the success of China's monetary-fiscal policies in producing 8.7% growth in 2009 to the following: (1) the capital adequacy ratio requirement was not binding because the banks' capital had not been reduced by losses on assets like subprime mortgages; (2) the initial fiscal position...