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test methodology proposed by Phillips et al. (2015a,b). Motivated by the theory of financial arbitrage, we examine within a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851645
made possible by regulatory arbitrage and shadow financing fueled the credit and twin real estate bubbles of the mid- 2000s …. Across countries and over time, bubbles have been particularly acute in real estate markets reflecting not only the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953036
underpricing of risk made possible by regulatory arbitrage and shadow financing fueled the credit and twin real estate bubbles of … the mid-2000s. Across countries and over time bubbles have been particularly acute in real estate markets reflecting not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509124
The paper attempts to provide, for housing markets, evidence of 'shift-contagion' at the international level, i.e., regime shifts in the transmission of asset prices during crisis periods. The focus is in particular on UK and Spain. We use a Markov Switching FAVAR framework and regime-dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137045
We examine house price co-movements within and cross four major economic blocks: North America, Europe, Oceania and the Far East. The purpose of this study is to establish: (1) Whether there was increased house price correlation within a given economic block or across different blocks in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014178964
Real estate markets are frequently affected by growth and contraction cycles. Given the social and economic impacts of changes on real estate prices, the understanding of these cycles is crucial from a socio-economic perspective, but also, and more importantly, from a public policy view. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014289715
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012129807
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438444
The Campbell-Shiller present value formula implies a factor structure for the price-rent ratio of the housing market. Using a dynamic factor model, we decompose the price-rent ratios of 17 major housing markets into a national factor and independent local factors, and we link these factors to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090400
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012198145