The paper develops an oil price forecasting technique which is based on the present value model of rational commodity pricing. The approach suggests shifting the forecasting problem to the marginal convenience yield which can be derived from the cost-of-carry relationship. In a recursive...

Introductory Lecture -- Housing in DSGE Models: Findings and New Directions -- Housing and the Business Cycles -- Housing and the Macroeconomy: The Italian Case -- Cyclical Relationships Between GDP and Housing Market in France: Facts and Factors at Play -- Does Housing Really Lead the Business...