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This article examines the relationship between changes in the level of investor fear (measured by VIX) and financial market returns. We document a statistically significant relationship, across asset classes, consistent with a flight to quality as investor fear increases. As VIX increase there...
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Order imbalance methodology is utilized to examine the link between trading activity and returns in the six most liquid international bond futures markets. Order imbalances are strongly related to contemporaneous returns, in the expected direction (i.e. excess buy (sell) orders push down (up)...
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This article utilises commodity specific news sentiment data provided by Thomson Reuters News Analytics to examine the relationship between news sentiment and returns in the gold futures market over the period 2003-2012. There is an asymmetric response to news releases with negative news...
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We examine the association of Bitcoin, and other cryptocurrency, returns with changes in inflation expectations. We show that returns of cryptocurrency, and gold, are positively related to changes in US inflation expectations. This relationship holds after controlling for uncertainty in economic...
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The cryptocurrency literature has attempted to identifying factors that explain excess returns. We utilise principal component analysis to determine whether a (small) set of factors can explain returns and whether this varies over time. We find that a substantial proportion of cryptocurrency...
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Construction of efficient portfolios is reliant on understanding the correlation between assets. If correlations change markedly during times of economic turmoil then investors are exposed to greater than desired risk levels at the most inopportune time. We examine the linkages between global...
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