This book presents in detail methodologies for the Bayesian estimation of single-regime and regime-switching GARCH … attractive alternative which enables small sample results, robust estimation, model discrimination and probabilistic statements … the Bayesian paradigm for inference. The next three chapters describe the estimation of the GARCH model with Normal …

forecasting horizons. Therefore, a long memory volatility model compared to a short memory GARCH model does not appear to improve …

value robust volatility estimator with respect to the standard robust volatility estimator as proposed in the paper by … Muneer & Maheswaran (2018b). We show that the robust volatility ratio is unbiased both in the population as well as in finite … samples. We empirically test the robust volatility ratio on 9 global stock indices from America, Asia Pacific and EMEA markets …

price volatility. To address this issue, we find a phenomenon, "momentum of jumps" (MoJ), that the predictive ability of the … jump component is persistent when forecasting the oil futures market volatility. Specifically, we propose a strategy that … according to their recent past forecasting performance. The volatility data are based on the intraday prices of West Texas …

The benefits of using flight-to-safety (FTS) in volatility forecasting are assessed within a multivariate GARCH … volatility. Moreover, when comparing with a benchmark and controlling for data snooping, we find that the proposed model yields …

degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which … forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation … distribution of returns. Carefully modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized volatility …

In this paper we examine the empirical performance of affine jump diffusion models with stochastic volatility in a time … method. The support for a stochastic volatility model including jumps in both prices and volatility is strong and the model … clearly outperforms the others in terms of a superior fit to data. Using this model and our estimation methodology we obtain …